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VideoNuze-TDG Report Podcast #144 - Google Demotes Copyright Infringers; Apple's Set-Top Box Dreams
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 144th edition of the VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast. In this week's podcast Colin and I first discuss Google's recently-announced changes to how its search results are determined. Google will now factor in instances of copyright infringement to demote bad actors in its results. Colin sees the change as due to Google's interest in deepening relationships with Hollywood, where YouTube's business is increasingly pointing. However, there has been some dispute about just how much impact Google's change will have on results in YouTube.
Next up we discuss the idea of Apple building set-top boxes for the cable TV industry, which the WSJ wrote about yesterday. I add some further detail to my post ("Apple to Make Cable Set-Top Boxes? Not. Going. To. Happen.") which Colin mostly agrees with, however noting that Apple could add real value to cable's anemic VOD navigation. It's been fun to read all the coverage of the Apple-cable development; I'm clearly among the strongest skeptics. Perhaps I'm missing something big here, though I don't think so. Listen in to learn more!
Click here to listen to the podcast (19 minutes, 53 seconds)
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The VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast is available in iTunes...subscribe today!
(as noted in the podcast, we were each using new microphones this week and Colin's audio setting is a little low; we'll adjust next week)Categories: Cable TV Operators, Devices, Podcasts, Video Search
Topics: Apple, Google, Podcast, YouTube
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VideoNuze-TDG Report Podcast #143 - Should Google Fiber Frighten Incumbent Operators?
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 143rd edition of the VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast. In this week's podcast Colin and I discuss the prospects for Google Fiber, and specifically whether incumbent pay-TV operators and broadband ISPs should be "very, very afraid," as a report from industry analyst SNL Kagan asserted earlier this week.
Google's innovative spirit and willingness to spend heavily on Google Fiber is terrific, but as I said last week, I think its big challenge will be penetrating beyond a core early adopter audience. While uncapped gigabit broadband service is indeed compelling, more mainstream audiences will weigh its benefits against the costs of its missing features, being a guinea pig for an unproven service and increasing their monthly bills for TV and phone service, among other things.
In a sense, Google Fiber feels to me a little bit like Time Warner's Full Service Network pilot in Orlando in the mid-90's, with its high deployment costs, disruptive innovation, untested consumer premise equipment, lack of scalability and massive hype. That's not to say Google Fiber will end up like FSN as a complete flameout, but it's still not clear to me what the real impact of the project is going to be. I think incumbent operators need to be vigilant, but there's no real cause for fright, at least not yet anyway. Colin is a bit more bullish on Google Fiber, though I suspect that's because he's so enticed by the idea of a having a gigabit connection himself (being the early adopter that he is!).
Click here to listen to the podcast (20 minutes, 2 seconds)
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The VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: Broadband ISPs, Cable TV Operators, Podcasts
Topics: Google Fiber, Podcast
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VideoNuze-TDG Report Podcast #142 - NBC Olympics Streaming; Pay-TV Losses; Aereo's Low Pricing
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 142nd edition of the VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast. In this week's podcast Colin and I first discuss NBC's Olympics video streaming. Despite some high profile criticism, we agree that NBC has actually done a pretty good job and has laid a foundation for live streaming to be an expected part of all Olympics coverage in the future.
Next we review Q2 '12 results from some of the largest pay-TV operators. Video subscriber losses continue, although Q2 is historically a soft quarter. Colin notes that recent TDG research shows the pay-TV value proposition is increasingly challenged and he believes that means higher churn is ahead, with bigger opportunities for OTT options.
Speaking of those options, Aereo announced new low-cost plans and both Colin and I agree that they're a clever way to reduce entry barriers and increase viewing flexibility. It's still early, but we like Aereo's odds of success.
Last up, we note the early demise of the Nexus Q media streaming device, a product that both us called a dud a couple of weeks ago.
Listen in to learn more.
Click here to listen to the podcast (21 minutes, 43 seconds)
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The VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: Broadcasters, Cable TV Operators, Podcasts, Satellite, Sports, Startups, Telcos
Topics: Aereo, Comcast, Google, NBC Sports, Olympics, Podcast
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VideoNuze-TDG Report Podcast #140 - Sky Launches NOW TV, Lessons for U.S. Market?
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 140th edition of the VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast.
In this week's podcast Colin and I discuss NOW TV, which Sky, the big British satellite-based pay-TV operator, launched on Tuesday. Initially the service allows unbundled access to Sky Movies, a collection of around 600 early window movies, on either a monthly subscription or a la carte rental basis. The big breakthrough here is that traditionally Sky Movies was only available if you first subscribed to the basic service, which costs around 60 pounds/month.
Colin views the move as an attempt to re-start growth at Sky, moving the company beyond the approximately 10 million subscribers it has, mainly by appealing to broadband-only households. Clearly in NOW TV's cross-hairs are both Netflix and LoveFilm. More broadly, Colin and I discuss how NOW TV might or might not be a model for U.S. pay-TV operators to consider. I wrote earlier this week that with the cost of pay-TV service continuing to rise and consumers' expectations shifting, it's time for the industry to present more flexible pricing and packaging options to subscribers.
Listen in to learn more.
Click here to listen to the podcast (19 minutes, 36 seconds)
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The VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: FIlms, International, Podcasts, Satellite
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VideoNuze-TDG Report Podcast #139 - Aereo's Big Legal Victory
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 139th edition of the VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast.
Breaking with tradition, we're posting this week's podcast a day early to share our thoughts on Aereo's big legal victory - the decision by U.S. District Judge Judith Nathan to deny the broadcast networks' request for a preliminary injunction to block Aereo's service. As Colin and I agree, though the broadcasters have promised to pursue an appeal, for now it's a very significant milestone for Aereo, as it validates the company's assertion that the Cablevision precedent should hold.
Our discussion focuses on the ruling's implications. Certainly it opens up a whole new option for pay-TV operators to avoid paying hundreds of millions in retransmission consent fees by either partnering with Aereo or developing comparable technology (patent issues notwithstanding) to deliver broadcast programs. It also opens up opportunities for OTT providers to potentially beef up their services in partnership with Aereo. While Colin sees Aereo as offering some benefits for the broadcasters, I view the ruling as key setback to their strategy to develop a secondary revenue stream.
The ruling also comes in the context of two other significant developments - the decision by DirecTV to drop Viacom's networks and the news that Netflix's usage surpassed 1 billion hours in June. Both underscore the impact that evolving consumer behaviors are having on the relationship between pay-TV and online video delivery. The Aereo decision scrambles that dynamic even further. No question, we are living in very interesting times.
Listen in to hear all of the details.
Click here to listen to the podcast (23 minutes, 17 seconds)
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The VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: Broadcasters, Podcasts, Startups
Topics: Aereo, CBS, Fox, Podcast, Univision
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VideoNuze-TDG Report Podcast #137 - Debating DOJ's New Cable Investigation
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 137th edition of the VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast.
First up this week, Colin and I discuss this week's news that the Department of Justice is investigating whether cable TV companies are acting to suppress online video. As I wrote on Wednesday, it's good for the government to be vigilant, but for now anyway I don't believe online video providers or consumers are being impacted (rather I suggested if the DOJ wants to address a REAL way consumers are being harmed it should look into the multi-billion dollar per year subsidy non sports fans are forced to pay for expensive sports networks).
Colin disagrees with me. As he's stated in the past, he believes the use of "private networks" to deliver video traffic to connected devices that doesn't count against data caps creates preferred broadband lanes and are inappropriate (Colin believes Comcast is doing this with its recent plan to deliver video services to the Xbox).
Wrapping up, Colin shares observations from Cisco Live a big analyst event he attended earlier this week and I do some shameless plugging for next Tuesday's VideoNuze Online Video Advertising Summit.
Click here to listen to the podcast (20 minutes, 36 seconds)
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The VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: Broadband ISPs, Cable TV Operators, Podcasts, Regulation
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VideoNuze-TDG Report Podcast #136 - TakeMyMoneyHBO.com; E3 Reactions; TV is Ossified
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 136th edition of the VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast (our podcast's new co-branded name, going forward).
This week we first discuss a fascinating new web site, TakeMyMoneyHBO.com that invites visitors to submit how much they'd pay for a standalone HBO GO service. It's the latest in the larger dynamics around HBO going direct-to-consumer, rather than solely via pay-TV operators. In my video interview with HBO's co-president Eric Kessler 6 months ago, he explained the rationale for HBO sticking to its roots with HBO GO, which Ryan Lawler at TechCrunch enumerated this week. While Colin and I understand the reasoning, we contend that changing consumer expectations and a strong desire for viewing flexibility will inevitably pressure HBO - and others - to re-think traditional approaches. This is a topic I explored at length over a year ago.
Then Colin offers his reactions to E3 and what the major gaming console providers announced with streaming video apps this week. Last I discuss my video interview with top Wall Street analyst Craig Moffett that I posted yesterday, in which Craig states that the TV industry is so "ossified" that re-invention can only come from outsiders.
Click here to listen to the podcast (22 minutes, 46 seconds)
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The VideoNuze-TDG Report podcast is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: Cable Networks, Devices, Podcasts, TV Everywhere
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #134 - Comcast's New "X1" Platform
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 134th edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for May 25, 2012. This week's topic: Comcast's new "X1" TV platform and experience. Yesterday I posted a video interview I did with Comcast's SVP, Digital and Emerging, Matt Strauss discussing details of X1, and today Colin and I get into the details of what it means for Comcast and for the larger TV industry and future landscape.
Two other quick notes related to prior podcast topics. On last week's podcast we discussed Dish Network's "Auto Hop" ad-skipper and the likely legal backlash from broadcast networks. Sure enough yesterday CBS, Fox and NBCU filed their lawsuits. And back in Feb. we discussed Aereo's disruptive potential. This week the company won a minor battle in its legal wrangling with broadcasters, while looking ahead to a big day in federal court next Wed.
Click here to listen to the podcast (24 minutes, 24 seconds)
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The VideoNuze Report is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: Broadcasters, Cable TV Operators, Podcasts
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #132 - Understanding Content Piracy
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 132nd edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for May 11, 2012. This week's topic is content piracy and to dig into it we're joined by a guest, Stuart Rosove, VP of Marketing at Irdeto, a software security provider.
We kickoff the discussion with Colin and Stuart each sharing some data on how extensive piracy is and what flavors it comes in. As Stuart explains, there's a huge range of piracy activity from criminals who profit from piracy to hackers motivated by bragging rights to casual viewers like college students who don't think they're doing any harm, to frustrated consumers who can't find legitimate access to confused consumers who aren't even aware they're doing something illegal.To get a sense of how critical the piracy issue is, Forbes has written that HBO's hit show "Game of Thrones" is on track to become the most-pirated show of 2012, reaching a staggering 2.5 million illegal downloads per day. It's a very complicated landscape, which will become even more so as connected devices proliferate. Stuart also shares information about how Irdeto is helping content companies as many pirates as possible to paying customers.
Categories: Podcasts
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #131 - Battle Lines Drawn Between Paid vs. Free Video Ecosystems
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 131st edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for May 4, 2012. This week Colin and I discuss how fundamental battle lines have been drawn between the traditional TV ecosystem vs. the numerous digital outlets that are launching online-only original programs. To be more specific, the former group seems intent on erecting ever-higher paywalls to access its programs, which is in turn opening up a gigantic opportunity for free, ad-supported programs to be provided by the latter group. How this battle unfolds will have far-reaching and profound implications for everyone involved.
For the traditional TV ecosystem, there appear to be two core drivers at work; first, the desire by broadcast TV networks to morph themselves into cable TV networks, and second, the role that TV Everywhere is taking on as a foundation of paywall economics.Categories: Aggregators, Broadcasters, Cable Networks, Indie Video, Podcasts
Topics: Hulu, NBC, Podcast, TV Everywhere, YouTube
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #129 - Demystifying the Data On Changing Viewer Behaviors
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 129th edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for April 13, 2012. These days it can be overwhelming to keep up with the amount of data concerning change in the video landscape. In an effort to demystify things a bit, today Colin and I discuss several interesting data points that have recently hit our radar, which tangibly underscore how viewers' behaviors and expectations are shifting. We see a narrative forming from the data and discuss its implications for the video and pay-TV industries.
Listen in to learn more!
Click here to listen to the podcast (19 minutes, 27 seconds)
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The VideoNuze Report is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: Podcasts
Topics: Podcast
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #124 - Sizing Up Apple's TV Ambitions
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 124th edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for Mar. 9, 2012. In this week's podcast we discuss Apple and its TV ambitions.
This past Wednesday Apple announced a few minor feature updates to its $99 Apple TV device. While the device continues to improve, in my view it still does not come close to representing Apple's ultimate ambitions in the living room. I think it's inevitable that Apple will introduce some type of "television" (timing TBD) and that when it does, it will be both a design and an experience breakthrough. My caveat here is that Apple needs quality content to support the device, and what it will be able to offer is still unclear. Stirring the pot, in the past week the NY Post reported that Apple is negotiating for rights to turn channels into apps, and Steve Jobs's biographer said that he purposely left out of his book details of what Jobs thought Apple TV should be.Categories: Aggregators, Devices, Podcasts
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #116 - Smart TVs Are All the Rage
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 116th edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for Jan. 13, 2012. Colin joins us from CES in Las Vegas (note, it's a little noisy). As anyone who's been following the news out of CES this week, connected or "Smart TVs" are all the rage.
In today's podcast Colin reports on what impressed him and what didn't. We dig into topics like universal search through voice and motion control, the role of second screens like the iPad to navigate Smart TVs, how pay-TV services are being integrated and how advertising is going to play a role plus much more. One thing is for sure, Smart TV's are going to be a big business in 2012. Colin says that TDG's research on purchase intent shows huge consumer interest in Smart TVs. Listen in to learn more!
Click here to listen to the podcast (18 minutes, 33 seconds)
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The VideoNuze Report is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Topics: LG, Panasonic, Podcast, Samsung, Technicolor
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #115 - Video Viewing Goes Multiplatform
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 115th edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for Jan. 6, 2012. In today's podcast Colin and I discuss several new data points around multi-platform video adoption. Colin cites a U.K. report that says 36% of people are watching TV via a PC, laptop or tablet device and discusses the impactions of changing viewer behaviors, just latest in a string of research showing changing viewing patterns.
Categories: Aggregators, Podcasts
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #113 - Verizon and the OTT Market
I'm pleased to be joined once again by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 113th edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for Dec. 9, 2011. In today's podcast Colin and I discuss this week's rumors of Verizon potentially launching an OTT subscription video service outside its market areas. As I wrote earlier this week, I'm skeptical of their ability to succeed, but Colin is more sanguine.
Adding to this week's intrigue was a separate report suggesting that Verizon intends to team up with Redbox on the initiative. Meanwhile Verizon isn't willing to talk about any of this, and these days you can't be sure what to believe. Beyond Verizon, in the podcast we also discuss other players' role in the OTT space such as YouTube, Dish, Amazon and Vudu, and how they're each positioned. Listen in to learn more!
Click here to listen to the podcast (16 minutes, 27 seconds)
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The VideoNuze Report is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: Aggregators, Podcasts, Telcos
Topics: Amazon, DISH, Podcast, Verizon, VUDU, YouTube
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #112 - Facebook's Video Opportunities
I'm pleased to be joined by Colin Dixon, senior partner at The Diffusion Group, for the 112th edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for Dec. 2, 2011. Today Colin and I discuss how Facebook has become a leader in online video and the range of opportunities it has ahead. Earlier this week I reported how Facebook was ranked as the #2 video site in October by comScore, with nearly 60 million viewers. Though YouTube is still by far the biggest online video site, Facebook has made huge progress over the past year. Listen in to learn more!
Click here to listen to the podcast (16 minutes, 25 seconds)
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The VideoNuze Report is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: Podcasts, Social Media
Topics: comScore, Facebook, Podcast
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #111 - Boxee's Live TV Dongle
Daisy Whitney and I are pleased to present the 111th edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for Nov. 18, 2011. This week, Daisy and I discuss Boxee's new Live TV dongle and broader trends around pay-TV cord-cutting. The range of devices and video choices is opening up interesting new opportunities to segment consumers out of traditional pay-TV bundles, but change will unfold over the long-term. Listen in to learn more!
Click here to listen to the podcast (10 minutes, 14 seconds)
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The VideoNuze Report is available in iTunes...subscribe today!
(Note: After 111 great podcasts together, Daisy and I are going to take a break for now. We hope you've enjoyed!)
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #110 - OTT Distributors' Strategies
Daisy Whitney and I are pleased to present the 110th edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for Nov. 4, 2011. This week, Daisy and I discuss major over-the-top (OTT) distributors' content strategies and how these companies are each trying to position themselves in the market. As I wrote earlier this week, while Netflix has recently gained a lot of attention, Hulu, Amazon, YouTube and others have been plenty busy as well. Listen in to learn more!
Click here to listen to the podcast (15 minutes, 5 seconds)
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The VideoNuze Report is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: Aggregators, Podcasts
Topics: Podcast
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #109 - Netflix Q3 Results - Oct. 28, 2011
Daisy Whitney and I are pleased to present the 109th edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for Oct. 28, 2011.
In this week's podcast, Daisy and I discuss Netflix's Q3 '11 results which it reported earlier this week. There's been a lot of coverage of Netflix's 800K subscriber loss in the U.S. in Q3, plus its dismal Q4 forecast, and we try to get behind the numbers to assess what they mean and where Netflix goes from here. Listen in to learn more!
Click here to listen to the podcast (16 minutes, 33 seconds)
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The VideoNuze Report is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: Aggregators, Podcasts
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VideoNuze Report Podcast #108 - TV Everywhere's 5 Challenges
Following a short break, Daisy Whitney and I are pleased to be back to present the 108th edition of the VideoNuze Report podcast, for Oct. 21, 2011.
In this week's podcast, Daisy and I discuss TV Everywhere and the 5 key things that are holding back its rollout as I described earlier this week (where there are some great reader comments too). Since its introduction almost 3 years ago, TV Everywhere has been hailed as the pay-TV industry's most critical initiative to combat the rise of over-the-top competition. But while there have been a number of great TV Everywhere implementations, widespread deployment is delayed by a number of important challenges. Daisy and I delve deep into these and offer our predictions on TV Everywhere's future success. Listen in to learn more!
Click here or below to listen to the podcast (13 minutes, 17 seconds)
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The VideoNuze Report is available in iTunes...subscribe today!Categories: Podcasts, TV Everywhere
Topics: Podcast, TV Everywhere